четверг, 26 марта 2015 г.

Forex strategies for beginners

When people use the term "day trading", they mean the act of buying and selling a stock within the same day. Day traders seek to make profits by leveraginglarge amounts of capital to take advantage of small price movements in highly liquid stocks or indexes. Here we look at some common day trading strategies that can be used by retail traders.
Entry StrategiesCertain stocks are ideal candidates for day trading. A typical day trader looks for two things in a stock: liquidity and volatility. Liquidity allows you to enter and exit a stock at a good price (i.e. tight spreads and low slippage). Volatility is simply a measure of the expected daily price range - the range in which a day trader operates. More volatility means greater profit or loss. (To learn more, seeDay Trading: An Introduction or Forex Trading Walkthrough.)

Once you know what kinds of stocks you are looking for, you need to learn how to identify possible entry points. There are three tools you can use to do this:
  • Intraday Candlestick Charts - Candles provide a raw analysis of price action.
  • Level II Quotes/ECN - Level II and ECN provide a look at orders as they happen.
  • Real-Time News Service - News moves stocks. This tells you when news comes out.
We will look at the intraday candlestick charts and focus on the following three factors:
  • Candlestick Patterns - Engulfings and dojis
  • Technical Analysis - Trendlines and triangles
  • Volume - Increasing or decreasing volume
There are many candlestick setups that we can look for to find an entry point. If properly used, the doji reversal pattern (highlighted in yellow in Figure 1) is one of the most reliable ones.
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Figure 1: Looking at candlesticks - the highlighted doji signals a reversal.
Typically, we will look for a pattern like this with several confirmations:
  • First, we look for a volume spike, which will show us whether traders are supporting the price at this level. Note that this can be either on the doji candle, or on the candles immediately following it.
  • Second, we look for prior support at this price level. For example, the prior low of day (LOD) or high of day (HOD).
  • Finally, we look at the Level II situation, which will show us all the open orders and order sizes.
If we follow these three steps, we can determine whether the doji is likely to produce an actual turnaround, and we can take a position if the conditions are favorable. Typically, entry points are found using a combination of these three tools. (For more see the Charting Section of the Forex Walkthrough.)
Finding a TargetIdentifying a price target will depend largely on your trading style. Here is a brief overview of some common day trading strategies:
StrategyDescription
ScalpingScalping is one of the most popular strategies, which involves selling almost immediately after a trade becomes profitable. Here the price target is obviously just after profitability is attained.
FadingFading involves shorting stocks after rapid moves upwards. This is based on the assumption that (1) they are overbought, (2) early buyers are ready to begin taking profits and (3) existing buyers may be scared out. Although risky, this strategy can be extremely rewarding. Here the price target is when buyers begin stepping in again.
Daily PivotsThis strategy involves profiting from a stock\'s daily volatility. This is done by attempting to buy at the low of the day (LOD) and sell at the high of the day (HOD). Here the price target is simply at the next sign of a reversal, using the same patterns as above.
MomentumThis strategy usually involves trading on news releases or finding strong trending moves supported by high volume. One type of momentum trader will buy on news releases and ride a trend until it exhibits signs of reversal. The other type will fade the price surge. Here the price target is when volume begins to decrease and bearish candles start appearing.
You can see that, although the entries in day trading strategies typically rely on the same tools used in normal trading, the exits are where the differences occur. In most cases, however, you will be looking to exit when there is decreased interest in the stock (indicated by the Level II/ECN and volume). (For further reading, see Introduction To Types Of Trading: Momentum Traders andIntroduction To Types Of Trading: Scalpers.)

Determining a Stop-Loss
When you trade on margin, you are far more vulnerable to sharp price movements than regular traders. Therefore, using stop-losses is crucial when day trading. One strategy is to set two stop losses:
1. A physical stop-loss order placed at a certain price level that suits your risk tolerance. Essentially, this is the most you want to lose. 
2. A mental stop-loss set at the point where your entry criteria are violated. This means that if the trade makes an unexpected turn, you'll immediately exit your position.
Retail day traders usually also have another rule: set a maximum loss per day that you can afford (both financially and mentally) to withstand. Whenever you hit this point, take the rest of the day off. Inexperienced traders often feel the need to make up losses before the day is over and end up taking unnecessary risks as a result. (To learn more, see The Stop-Loss Order - Make Sure You Use It.)
Evaluating and Tweaking PerformanceMany people get into day trading expecting to make triple digit returns every year with minimal effort. In reality, many day traders lose money. However, by using a well-defined strategy that you are comfortable trading, you can improve your chances of beating the odds.
How do you evaluate performance? Most day traders evaluate performance not so much by a percentage of gain or loss, but rather by how closely they adhere to their individual strategies. In fact, it is far more important to follow your strategy closely than to try to chase profits. By keeping this mindset, you make it easier to identify where problems exist and how to solve them.
The Bottom LineDay trading is a difficult skill to master. As a result, many of those who try it fail. But the techniques described above can help you create a profitable strategy and, with enough practice and consistent performance evaluation, you can greatly improve your chances of beating the odds.

среда, 11 марта 2015 г.

Top 5 Most Successful Forex Traders Ever



If you want to be the best, you must learn from the best. The same goes for the Forex market. Here are the 5 most successful traders in the foreign exchange market that you should know about.

1: Bill Lipschutz



Born in New York, Bill has always excelled in mathematics and was a bright student overall. He earned a B.A. in Cornell College in Fine Arts and then a Masters degree in Finance back in 1982. Apart from academics, Bill enjoyed reading whatever he could find regarding the stock and Forex market. It is said that during his stay at Cornell, he invested $12000 in stocks, which he turned into $250,000 in only a couple of months, largely thanks to his extensive knowledge of the stock market business. However, he soon lost all his money to stocks due to the erratic nature of the business; after this loss he shifted to a more stable form of trading: the forex.
Today, Bill is a well known forex trader in the financial sector. He is known to have made over $300 million in a single year from trading on the forex market alone.

2: George Soros


A graduate of the LSE (London School of Economics), George has broken records in the financial sector. He made $1 billion dollars in just one day from a single transaction. This gained him a lot of press and he was branded as the man who “broke the Bank of England”, having shifted over $10 billion dollars worth of sterling out of Britain. He has written many books on investing, and is also a philanthropist, having donated over $7 billion in charity of personal savings over the course of his existence.

3: John R. Taylor, Jr.



A graduate of Princeton University, John started in the financial sector as a political analyst for Chemical Bank. Just one year into the job, he became the forex analyst for the bank which proved a wonderful opportunity for him to build a network in the foreign exchange world.
John is the proud owner of FX concepts, a currency managing firm, and operates it successfully to this day. He is also considered a pioneer of computer-aided forex trading systems, developing forex models for effective online trading.

4: Stanley Druckenmiller



Stanley started out as an oil analyst for the Pittsburgh National Bank. Having graduated from Bowdoin College, Stanley changed many jobs. First, he left PNB to create Duquesne Capital Management in the year 1981, and then he started to work for George Soros in 1988. Working with George Soros proved excellent for Stanley, because not only did he garner over 30% return in the Quantum Fund, he also contributed to the deal which earned both him and Soros over $1 billion; this was the deal which “broke the Bank of England”.
He returned to Duquesne in 2000 and now works full-time there; he has also started a non-profit organization dedicated to educating people of all ages.

5: Andrew Krieger



A graduate of the prestigious Wharton Business School at the University of Pennsylvania, Andrew grew to fame when he sold New Zealand currency called Kiwi in between the value of $600 million to about $1 billion which exceeded the money supply in circulation in actuality within New Zealand at that time. Andrew ended up garnering $300 million in revenue from this transaction alone in 1987 while working at the Bankers Trust.
Andrew moved on to work for Soros Management Fund in 1988, later switching to Northbridge Capital Management. He is also involved in philanthropic work, having donated over $350,000 for a relief fund for the 2004 tsunami victims.

Foreign Exchange Market

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DEFINITION OF 'FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET'

The market in which participants are able to buy, sell, exchange and speculate on currencies. Foreign exchange markets are made up of banks, commercial companies, central banks, investment management firms, hedge funds, and retail forex brokers and investors. The forex market is considered to be the largest financial market in the world.

INVESTOPEDIA EXPLAINS 'FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET'

Because the currency markets are large and liquid, they are believed to be the most efficient financial markets. It is important to realize that the foreign exchange market is not a single exchange, but is constructed of a global network of computers that connects participants from all parts of the world.